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Value is back.
After nearly a decade of extreme underperformance versus growth stocks, overdue value stocks are flipping the script.


The dominance of growth stocks over the last eight years has been about as lopsided as the relative performance has been over the last 100 years.


But things are changing. Inflation is back. And rising interest rates are sure to follow. This economic recovery is shaping up to a lot different that the last one. This recovery is shaping up to be much better for value stocks. In fact, the role reversal is already underway. Value stocks are already outperforming growth stocks by about 15% so far this year. And it is likely just the beginning.


In this issue, I highlight one of the most dominant technology companies in the world. It is one that has stumbled lately and given way to the competition. But the stock is cheap, wallowing near the four-year low, with limited downside. It is also poised ahead of a likely renewed growth phase. The timing could be just right.

The situation remains the same as it has for the past week or so. When it comes to selling pressures, we’re seeing some signs that they’re starting to ease, but, on the buying side, there isn’t much evidence to suggest the bulls are flexing their muscles, as most indexes, sectors and growth funds are still in downtrends while rallies into resistance (whether for an index or stock) almost always attracts quick selling. Yes, there are still many old world stocks that are acting well (though we’ll see how today’s commodity-related selloff goes), so we’re not opposed to nibbling on these sorts of pullbacks. But overall, we think watchful waiting is the right course.



This week’s list is intriguing as there are a good number of fresh breakouts here, some from very long ranges. Our Top Pick is one of those, with the company’s massive step-up in earnings last year expected to persist for at least the next couple of years.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the March 2022 issue.



In what could be a low-return market over the coming decade, stocks of relatively boring companies have a better chance to shine. We highlight five companies with grind-it-out growth, low share valuations and often-generous dividends that could produce significant market-beating returns.



We also discuss six appealing stocks we found by trolling through the 13F/D filings of like-minded institutional investors.



Our featured recommendation this month is Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT). An investment in Goodyear is an opportunistic purchase of an average company whose shares have fallen sharply out of favor for what look like short-term reasons.



We note our recent price target increases for Wells Fargo (WFC), Marathon Oil (MRO) and Shell plc (SHEL).

With the market still in a downtrend, defense continues to be important.
Cash is the simplest defensive asset, but low-risk stocks, undervalued stocks, dividend-paying stocks and stocks in sectors bucking the downtrend are all worth considering.



My recommendation this week is a well-known automaker with great prospects in the electric vehicle space whose stock is trading 38% off its recent high.



Details inside.

Today, I’m adding an American petroleum contract drilling company, Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP).

Happy St. Patrick’s Day! After the Fed for the first time since 2018 raised benchmark rates, stocks surged yesterday. The question remains whether the Fed can get a handle on inflation without tipping the economy into a recession. Rock-bottom Chinese stocks also got a lift yesterday as a Chinese regulatory agency indicated its support of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks. Emerging markets and fintech remain out of favor but we go there today for a Warren Buffett-backed, aggressive idea that is a play on both of these themes.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor. We hope you enjoy reading the February 2022 issue.



Word puzzle Wordle is the latest craze, but it isn’t the most popular parlor game. This title is held by “What Is Russian President Vladimir Putin Going to Do With Ukraine?”



We provide our theory which is not found anywhere else yet could readily explain his motivation. Related to this crisis, we move shares of ConocoPhillips (COP) from Buy to Hold, as they have surged above our recently raised 89 price target.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you and the best way to get more out of the letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

The market has spent the past six weeks etching a volatile, tedious bottom, with numerous secondary measures offering encouragement, the biggest of which is an ongoing positive divergence in the number of stocks hitting new lows, which tells us fewer stocks are participating in the downside. That’s good to see, but what we really need to see now is real, sustained buying pressure--so far, that hasn’t been the case, so we’re remaining generally defensive.

The world has clearly changed in the past two weeks. We see an exceptionally wide range of possible outcomes, which makes predictions about the future (already a low success rate endeavor) basically futile. We offer our timeless investing advice that can be readily applied in such situations.

In the letter, we also provide updates on all of our Recommended Stocks.

For the past several weeks, we have bought oils and commodity stocks. Today, I’m going to diversify our portfolio a bit, adding American semiconductor supplier, Onsemi (ON).

Interest rates are heading higher.

In normal and efficient markets, a strong economy and steeply rising prices would drive interest rates much higher. But rates have been held down and distorted by the Fed’s hyper-aggressive accommodation.



The Fed dismissed inflation in the early stages as “transitory” and now realizes it missed the boat and inflation is getting out of hand. Behind the curve and embarrassed, the Central Bankers will have to make up for lost time by reversing course, ending its bond buying program and raising the Fed Funds rate.



The main force preventing economic growth and rising prices from pushing interest rates higher is about to be removed, and perhaps quickly. Under the circumstances, it is quite reasonable to expect interest rates to move higher.



In this issue, I highlight an investment in the financial sector. Many companies in the sector benefit from higher rates as they earn higher spreads and profits. This company stands to benefit not only from higher interest rates but a change in consumer behavior as well.

The bull market remains intact, so I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in stocks that help achieve your investing goals.
Today’s featured stock is a small company that’s growing fast and that has huge growth potential as the market for intelligent vision systems booms.
As for the current portfolio, most of our stocks look good, and many are hitting new highs, but I have two sells, Supreme Brands (SPB) and Trulieve (TCNNF).


Details inside.

The market’s main trend remains up and thus I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in stocks that can help you meet your investing goals, all while remaining diversified to reduce risk.

However, it’s become increasingly difficult to hold on to growth stocks. Last week I dealt with that by recommending a low-risk income stock with decent growth potential, and this week I’m recommending a very cyclical stock in an industry that was recently deeply out of favor.



As for our current holdings, this week there are two sells and three downgrades to Hold.



Details inside.

Note: Because of the Independence Day holiday, next week’s issue of Cabot Stock of the Week will be published on Tuesday July 6.

The bull market rolls on, and our portfolio continues to deliver, so I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in stocks that help achieve your investing goals.



Today’s featured stock is a young and small medical stock that few investors have heard of, but it’s growing fast and the stock is going the right way!



As for the current portfolio, we’re parting company with super-safe Realty Income (O), mainly because something’s got to go.



Details inside.



Also, I hope you’ll join me for the 9th Annual Smarter Investing, Greater Profits Online Conference, August 17-19. We have an incredible line-up of experts ready to share their best picks.

The market’s main trend remains up and thus I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested, always working to “upgrade” your portfolio by selling weak stocks and buying healthier ones.

Today’s recommendation is a well-known big technology stock that’s spent the past eight months going sideways, despite the fact that revenue growth has been accelerating. To me, it’s a very attractive setup.



As for our current holdings, there are no changes. After selling two stocks last week, everything looks good today.



Details inside.

The bull market remains intact, so I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in stocks that help achieve your investing goals.

Today’s featured stock is in the semiconductor industry, which as we all know, is enjoying great demand in a supply-constrained world.



As for the current portfolio, most of our stocks look good, but Progyny (PGNY) is a sell, simply because it is our biggest loser.



Details inside.



Lastly, I hope you’ll join me for the 9th Annual Smarter Investing, Greater Profits Online Conference, August 17-19. We have an incredible line-up of experts ready to share their best picks.

While the market was weak this morning, the bull market remains intact, so I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in stocks that help achieve your investing goals.

Today’s featured stock is a low-risk dividend payer whose products you have probably bought—and probably never knowing the company’s name. More importantly, Tom Hutchinson says it’s cheap.



As for the current portfolio, most of our stocks look good, so the only changes is an upgrade of Five Below (FIVE) to Buy.

Recent crosscurrents in the market have seen changes among sector leadership, and today we have a broad selloff, but overall, the main trend of the market is up and thus I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested.

Today’s recommendation is an attempt to benefit from sector rotation, by targeting a sector that’s still down; if the sector turns up soon, today’s buyers should profit handsomely.



As for our current holdings, two stocks are upgraded to buy today, while two are downgraded to sell as we cut our losses short. The adage that applies: There’s nothing wrong with being wrong; what’s wrong is staying wrong.



Details inside.

The bull market rolls on (though never in a straight line, of course) and Cabot analysts continue to discover great new investments.

Today’s featured stock is an established company that manufactures a very wide variety of sensors for industry, with the automotive industry being number one. Growth prospects are good, and the stock is a bargain.



As for the current portfolio, Broadcom (AVGO) is upgraded to buy, and we’re taking profits in Barrick Gold (GOLD).

What a difference a week makes! Since our last issue, stocks have recovered from their worst trading day since March to reach new all-time highs. So, the bull market remains very much intact, though some growth stocks continue to wobble. Fortunately, today’s featured stock combines both elements of growth and value – and unlike many traditional growth stocks right now, it’s hitting two-year highs.

Details inside.



Lastly, I hope you’ll join me for the 9th Annual Smarter Investing, Greater Profits Online Conference, August 17-19. We have an incredible lineup of experts ready to share their best picks.