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Growth stocks have taken a series of small, positive baby steps during the past three weeks, which, given where things were at early last month, we’ll take. It’s been enough for us to put some money to work.

That said, the environment has a lot of room for improvement; we’re going slow, but will be happy to put more money to work if we see further progress. In the Model Portfolio, we’re averaging up in one of our stocks tonight, but that will still leave us with around 57% in cash.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor. We hope you enjoy reading the June 2021 issue.

Many of our recommended names are at or approaching our price targets. The decision to keep or sell isn’t easy in a strong market. Our patience is being tested (in a good way).



Few people would attend the Indy 500 and think about investment horizons. But, such is the world that your chief analyst inhabits. The race itself was a thrill, as always. It was also a showcase of different investment horizons, featuring that of new track owner Roger Penske.



Earning season has concluded, so it has been a slow period for company-specific news, although Tyson (TSN) announced the surprise departure of its new CEO. Some companies, including Bristol-Myers (BMY), Cisco (CSCO) and Dow (DOW) are presenting at various investor conferences. These can be worthwhile to watch and are free to the public, with replays available in addition to the live presentations.



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you and the best way to get more out of the letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.



Thanks!

The Dow Jones Industrial Average celebrated 125 Years yesterday as the index has increased an average of 7.7% each year. Markets continue to consolidate and churn with solid earnings offsetting concerns over inflation and valuations. This week Virgin Galactic (SPCE) took off while overall Explorer positions moved forward. Today’s new recommendation is a big data software stock that is in an uptrend on the back of some big government contracts. Enjoy!

Big picture, this year’s growth stock correction still looks normal, and encouragingly, we are now seeing some names bounce decently after the destruction of the prior two weeks. However, just going with the evidence, there’s still a lot of work to do, with few stocks in position to breakout and little in the way of upside power.

There will be another sustained rally (or two) down the road, but right now, we’re mostly biding our time, holding a lot of cash and fine tuning our watch list for whenever the buyers retake control.



In tonight’s issue, we dive into some precedent analysis that gives us confident in the big-picture point of view, and also highlight three new-ish additions to our watch list. In the Model Portfolio, we’re standing pat, but we could nibble if things continue to stabilize in the days ahead.

This month we’re jumping into a little-known company that makes and sells pop culture products.

It’s sort of an odd duck, but when you dig below the surface you find compelling products and interesting market exposures, including to the nascent Non-Fungible Token (NFT) market, which has exploded in trading value over the last year.



Revenue growth is above 30%, and the chart is strong.



Enjoy!

Current Market Outlook


Last week, the selling that had been concentrated in growth names spread to the rest of the market through Wednesday, though a late-week bounce helped a bit. Still, not much has changed with the overall environment—growth stocks remain in the dumps, and while bounces are possible (many fell 20% to 30% in just the past three weeks), there’s a lot of damage to repair. The broad market is obviously in better shape, where we still see some good opportunities (mostly after bullish earnings pops), but even there the action is turning choppy and challenging, with news-driven moves, rotation and whipsaws. Overall, we’re fine taking a swing or two at stocks and sectors that are still in favor, but we also think it’s best to stay relatively cautious until we see broad buying power emerge.

This week’s list is almost all turnaround and cyclical-type stories, and our Top Pick is International Game Technology (IGT), which is benefiting from both the reopening of casinos and also the growth wave in sports betting.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
AutoNation (AN)	105	101.5-104	91.5-93.5
Callaway Golf (ELY)	34	32.5-34.5	28.5-29.5
Camping World Holdings (CWH)	45	44-46	39-40
CF Industries (CF)	55	52.5-55	47-48.5
Cimarex Energy (XEC)	74	71.5-74.5	61-63
International Game Technology (IGT)	22	21-22.5	17.5-18.5
Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG)	56	53-55	49-50
Summit Materials (SUM)	34	31.5-33	28.5-29.5
WestRock Company (WRK)	62	58.5-60.5	53-54
Yeti Holdings (YETI)	86	83.5-86.5	76-77

This Friday is the expiration of June options, and for the time being it looks like the Profit Booster portfolio will have yet another spectacular month of returns as IGT, PGNY, RRC are trading well above the strike price of the calls we sold, while FNKO is at the strike, which is also a good situation.

Current Market Outlook


The holiday-shortened week was a relatively quiet one, with most indexes and sectors mostly meandered in tight ranges. After the prior two and a half weeks of constructive action, we consider the lack of selling a positive; to this point, the bears haven’t really come around for many names despite some decent rallies and a few breakouts. But now the real test will begin—if the former leaders that have run right into some tough resistance can hold firm, if recent breakouts can build on their gains and fresh breakouts can emerge, this rally could gain steam ... but if the sellers return, things could go back in the soup within a few days. Right now, we’re still in the trust-but-verify mode of the rally, slowly increasing exposure but also keeping a close eye to see if cracks show up.

This week’s list has a wide array of stocks, including a few cyclical names that are pushing up after a few weeks of consolidation. Our Top Pick is Marathon Oil (MRO), which showed some real power last week as oil stocks came to life.

Stock Name	Price	Buy Range	Loss Limit
Apellis Pharmaceuticals (APLS)	59	54-56.5	48-49.5
Callon Petroleum (CPE)	48	45.5-48	40-41.5
Discover Financial Services (DFS)	124	118-122	108-110
General Motors Company (GM)	63	62-64	56-57
Jabil Inc. (JBL)	58	55.5-57	51-52
Logitech (LOGI)	133	126-130	112-115
Marathon Oil (MRO)	14	13.0-14.0	11.5-12.0
SeaWorld Entertainment Inc. (SEAS)	58	56-58.5	50-51
United Parcel Service (UPS)	213	209-214	193-196
Vale S.A. (VALE)	22	21.5-22.5	19.3-19.8

The market has strengthened again, which is great for our three open covered call positions, all of which are trading above the strike price of the call we sold. That being said, a sideways market is also fine for our volatility selling strategy, that is focused on buying the strongest stocks, while keeping the portfolio diversified.

In the May Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities we acknowledge the increasingly choppy action in the market and the unprecedented nature of the current recovery.

Similar to last month, we focus on diversifying new buys across different end markets, offering up names with exposure to everything from mobile gaming to oil services to off-road suspension, and more. In short, there’s something for everyone and, we think, enough variety to capture the upside in a wide range of spring and summer market conditions.



Enjoy!

With June expiration coming next Friday, June 18, the Cabot Profit Booster portfolio is in great shape as all four of our existing positions are either at the strike price that we sold (RRC) or well above it (FNKO, IGT, PGNY).

This week my attention turns to selling a July call against an emerging oil and natural gas star that just broke out to new highs last week.

Thank you for subscribing to the Cabot Turnaround Letter. We hope you enjoy reading the June 2021 issue.

Good investing ideas can come from anywhere. One useful source is to borrow ideas from some of the best value-oriented investors. Their holdings can be found in the 13F and 13D regulatory filings which are required every quarter. In the letter, we briefly describe these filings, how we use them, and six stocks that look attractive from the many holdings we analyzed.



A slightly shocking source of turnaround ideas can come from the electric utility industry – about the last place that contrarians might look these days. We discuss three with interesting stories and strong upside potential.



Our feature Buy recommendation, Vistra Corporation (VST), comes from this illuminating search through the utility sector. Vistra is the nation’s largest independent power producer with an emerging retail business. Its shares were jolted by the winter storms yet look like an attractive turnaround situation.



We also mention our May 12th move from Buy to Sell on shares of Mohawk Industries (MHK).



Please feel free to send me your questions and comments. This newsletter is written for you. A great way to get more out of your letter is to let me know what you are looking for.



I’m best reachable at Bruce@CabotWealth.com. I’ll do my best to respond as quickly as possible.

While some sectors of the market look tired (growth), other sectors and stocks (retail, materials, financials, energy) continue to make new highs and/or come alive. Fortunately, the Cabot Profit Booster portfolio has avoided the hyper-growth stocks that are under pressure, and is positioned in stocks that are in the strongest sectors.

Explorer positions have a good week on the back of a market moving up on broadly upbeat first-quarter earnings, rising consumer confidence and, of course, stimulus and spending from Washington. The cash and liquidity has definitely buoyed the market but how it is put to work long term is critical.

This week’s recommendation is a rather aggressive small Canadian player in the commercial drone business.