
Current Market Outlook
After a 10-day, 11% plunge for the major indexes, the market has stabilized for the time being. When looking at the evidence, we see that the longer-term trend is still up, but there’s no doubt the intermediate-term trend is down, the broad market is unhealthy and many stocks have cracked. A bounce could easily get underway at any time, but until the intermediate-term trend turns up (indexes back above their 50-day lines and some stocks acting better), you should play some defense by holding cash, cutting back on new buying and, if you own some broken stocks, using any market rebound to pare back. On the flip side, we still advise holding your resilient stocks—if they’ve held up so far, they have a good chance of doing well whenever the correction finishes up.
What’s interesting is that, despite the market carnage, we saw a ton of positive earnings surprises last week—which is a good way to spot potential leaders down the road. Our Top Pick is Grubhub (GRUB), which has the look of an emerging blue chip.
| Stock Name | Price | Buy Range | Loss Limit |
|---|
| Array Biopharma (ARRY) | 46.35 | 16-17 | 14-14.5 |
| BeiGene (BGNE) | 170.20 | 116-124 | 103-107 |
| Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) | 17.24 | 20.5-22 | 18.5-19.5 |
| Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) | 137.53 | 45.5-47 | 43-44 |
| GrubHub (GRUB) | 140.03 | 81-86 | 72-75 |
| New Relic (NEWR) | 103.70 | 61-63 | 56-58 |
| Snap Inc. (SNAP) | 16.68 | 17-19 | 15-15.5 |
| Twitter (TWTR) | 40.37 | 29.5-32 | 26.5-28 |
| W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) | 311.99 | 253-270 | 225-230 |
| Wayfair (W) | 167.03 | 88-92 | 81-83 |