Analysts expect this security device maker to grow 32.1% this year.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC)
From BI Research
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) is, unfortunately, a very timely stock. Napco makes the widest variety of security products of any of its competitors. That includes electronic locking devices, doors with automated locks that can be wirelessly controlled to lock down a wing, a floor or an entire building—or even just the door(s) into a single classroom with a teacher’s small electronic remote. Such systems can also be found in hospitals, airports, military bases, apartment buildings; you name it.
This company doesn’t just make automated wirelessly controlled locks; it also makes a host of access devices to limit access to a given room, controlled by key pads, coded badges, etc. that allow access to only certain doors. Napco also manufactures other access control systems of all types where a security guard is sitting at a desk up front, issuing visitor badges, temporary codes/barcodes and can watch everything going on in the building with remote cameras (capable of HD video), lock doors and even control elevators if necessary.
In addition, the company makes alarm/detection systems for your house or any facility to detect intrusion, or temperature or fire, or glass breakage. The company estimates there are probably 30 million old alarm systems installed out there, most of which don’t otherwise have this capability.
There are lots of other companies in various of the three fields, like Honeywell, Schlage and Johnson Controls, but Napco is the only one that can supply all three: Alarms and Connectivity, Locking, and Access Control. In all, the company says it manufactures a thousand different products.
Napco makes its products in a 180,000 s.f. facility in the Dominican Republic. It already buys some components from Asia, and plans to increase this effort to reduce costs. However, it is steering clear of China/tariffs.
Its Starlink Radio Communications product generates recurring monthly revenue, with 90% margins. This now accounts for about $14.7 million in revenue, or close to 16% of revenue. For the full year, FY 6/18 gross margin was 41%, but in Q4 it was 45%. Revenues for all three product lines are split about 80% commercial and 20% residential.
On September 13th, the Company announced that it was resuming its share repurchasing against the 230,000 shares remaining authorization on an earlier 1,000,000 share repurchase plan (which should continue to keep the share count pretty steady).
Insiders own 38% of the stock so their interests are in line with ours. Also, the company has no debt and is starting to accumulate cash. While management does not provide guidance, analysts expect EPS to rise 29% this fiscal year from $.41 to $.53 and 32% next year to $.70. The BI Rank is 9.0- Buy.
Tom Bishop, BI Research, www.biresearch.com, September 24, 2018