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How to Profit from Low Volatility

When volatility is low, selling options becomes less profitable but buying them becomes more affordable. Here’s my favorite options strategy for that environment.

A Calm Ocean View

Although volatility, as measured by the VIX, has certainly risen as the August correction has dragged on, we remain in a low-volatility environment. And it’s prompted a number of questions from subscribers about profitable trading strategies during periods where low volatility reduces the volatility premium you get selling options.

This has been by far the most popular question I’ve received over the past few months and the answer isn’t as straightforward as one would think. While many options strategies qualify (buying calls, debit spreads, long straddles, etc.) my preference is to use a lesser-known strategy… the poor man’s covered call. A poor man’s covered call, also known as a long call diagonal debit spread, is used when a trader is bullish on an underlying stock or ETF and the implied volatility is low.

But those are just a few of the benefits. Not only is the poor man’s covered call one of the least risky options strategies, but it also allows you to participate in all of the benefits of a covered call without the excessive capital requirements. In fact, by using a poor man’s covered call, your capital outlay is typically 60% to 85% less than a standard covered call.

Low Implied Volatility Market Environment

Volatility is coming off the lowest levels it’s seen in years.

If you take a quick look at the chart of the VIX below, you will immediately notice that the VIX, also known as the investor’s fear gauge, is currently depressed, currently trading at 17.3. And while it’s risen since reaching multi-year lows in the mid-13s, it remains in the low range of its historical averages.

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And while some contrarians will tell you that a low VIX signals complacency, and they are mostly correct, it doesn’t necessarily mean that volatility is going to immediately pop higher.

In fact, if you look at the chart below you will notice that when the VIX has ongoing readings below 14 the market reacts in a bullish manner. So complacency, and in turn a low VIX, could be here for a while should the market resume its uptrend.

S&P 500 Chart

Using a Poor Man’s Covered Call in Intel (INTC)

There are numerous ways to approach poor man’s covered calls. My preference is to use LEAPS that have at least two years left until expiration. Intel (INTC) is one of the Dogs of the Dow trades I placed at the onset of 2023 and should give you great insight into how we initiate a trade using a poor man’s covered call strategy.

The stock is currently trading for 32.75.

INTC Chart

Now, if we followed the route of the traditional covered call, we would need to buy at least 100 shares of the stock. At the current share price, 100 shares would cost $3,275. Certainly not a crazy amount of money. But just think if you wanted to use a covered call strategy on, say, a higher-priced stock like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) or even an index ETF like SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). For some investors, the cost of 100 shares can be prohibitive, especially if diversification amongst a basket of stocks is a priority. Therefore, a covered call strategy just isn’t in the cards … and that’s unfortunate.

So, it’s worth repeating, with a poor man’s covered call strategy you can typically save 60% to 85% of the cost of a covered call strategy. Again, rather than purchase 100 shares or more of stock, we only have to buy one LEAPS call contract for every 100 shares we wish to control.

As I said before, my preference is to buy a LEAPS contract with an expiration date of around two years. Some options professionals prefer to only go out 12-16 months, some even less, but I prefer the flexibility the two-year LEAPS offers.

Again, per my approach, I want to go out roughly two years in time, if not more. The December 19, 2025, expiration cycle with 854 days left until expiration is the longest-dated expiration cycle and would be my choice.

And when my LEAPS reach 10-12 months left until expiration, I then begin the process of selling my LEAPS and reestablishing a position with approximately two years left until expiration.

Now, once I have chosen my expiration cycle, I then look for an in-the-money call strike with a delta of around 0.80.

As of the time of writing, the December 19, 2025, 25 strike call offers a delta of .78, which meets our needs.

The call is currently trading for approximately $12.25. Remember, always use a limit order. Never buy an option at the ask price, which in this case is $12.45.

So, rather than spend $3,275 for 100 shares of INTC, we only needed to spend $1,225. As a result, we saved $2,050 or 62.6%. Now we have the ability to use the capital saved to diversify our premium amongst other securities if we so choose.

After we purchase our LEAPS call option at the 25 strike, we then begin the process of selling calls against our LEAPS.

My preference is to look for an expiration cycle with around 30-60 days left until expiration and then aim for selling a strike with a delta ranging from 0.20 to 0.40.

The October 20, 2023, 37 strike call, with a delta of .22, works.

We could sell the 38 call option for roughly $0.55. The premium collected is 4.6% over the next two months, or approximately 27.6% in premium collected annually. If we were to use a traditional covered call our potential return on capital would be less than half, or 1.7%.

And remember, the 4.6% is just the premium return; it does not include any increases in the LEAPS contract if the stock pushes higher. Moreover, we can continue to sell calls against our LEAPS position for another 12 to 16 months, thereby generating additional income or lowering our cost basis even further. And of course, we have the ability to get out of the position, for any reason, if we so choose.

Quick Aside: An alternative way to approach a poor man’s covered call, if you are a bit more bullish on the stock, is to buy two LEAPS for every call sold. This way you can benefit from the additional upside past your chosen short strike, yet still participate in the benefits of selling premium.

Regardless of your approach, you can continue to sell calls against your INTC LEAPS as long as you wish. Whether you hold a position for one expiration cycle or 12, poor man’s covered calls give you all the benefits of a covered call for significantly less capital allowing you to diversify your portfolio or income stream far more effectively and efficiently.

We can use poor man’s covered calls (PMCC) in a variety of ways for a variety of different reasons…but cost is certainly the number one factor for choosing. Just look at the difference in cost if one were to use, say, David Swensen’s Yale Endowment portfolio. A portfolio that does well in bull, bear or sideways markets. The cost difference is staggering!

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So again, with the significant reduction in capital that using poor man’s covered calls provide, I’m again able to realistically diversify my income approach over a wide range of strategies such as David Swensen’s Yale Endowment Portfolio, Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio, James O’Shaughnessy’s Growth/Value Portfolio, Warren Buffett’s Patient Investor Portfolio, Dogs and Small Dogs of the Dow and several other tried and true investment strategies.

To learn about all my favorite strategies and see the system in action, consider subscribing to a Cabot Options Institute advisory today.