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Value Investor
Wealth Building Opportunites for the Active Value Investor

Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor Special Bulletin

One of the stocks in our Growth Portfolio issued new quarterly adjusted earnings guidance this morning, pleasing investors and sending the stock up 6% upon the market’s open.

Today’s news: Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) raises earnings guidance.

knx

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX – yield 0.8%) issued new quarterly adjusted earnings guidance this morning, pleasing investors and sending the stock up 6% upon the market’s open. Here are the former and current projections:

knx earnings

In this week’s update, I wrote, “The 2018 consensus EPS estimate has been consistently rising for over a year, out of synch with the stock’s poor performance.” Wall Street’s full-year 2018 EPS estimate was previously $2.36 per share, 71% higher than last year’s $1.38. The new revised earnings estimate will necessarily be revised up to about $2.56.

The next question will be, “Will analysts also revise their 2019 EPS projections?” As of yesterday, the 2019 consensus estimate was $2.65. I’ll have more info in next week’s update.

The stock is on a strong uptrend amid a recovery in the broader stock market. There’s upside price resistance at 32, and again at 35. Please be aware – not only with KNX, but with most quality stocks and with the broader market – that big short-term moves are almost always followed by pullbacks. Those pullbacks don’t mean that there’s anything wrong with the company or the economy. Those pullbacks are merely a trading phenomenon during which stocks “catch their breath”, if you will, and prepare for their next advance. Presuming that the 2019 earnings growth rate remains attractive at Knight-Swift, I’ll move the stock to a Buy recommendation during the inevitable pullback. Hold.