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Turnaround Letter
Out-of-Favor Stocks with Real Value

September 15, 2023

This week there were no earnings reports or ratings changes.

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This week there were no earnings reports or ratings changes.

Friday, Sept 15, 2023, Subscribers-Only Podcast:

Covering recent news and analysis for our portfolio companies and other topics relevant to value/contrarian investors.

Today’s podcast is about 8½ minutes and covers:

  • Comments on other recommended companies
    • Brookfield Re (BNRE) – Encouraging info during Brookfield Company’s investor meeting.
    • Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) – Shares down on guidance cut and industry woes.
    • Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – S&P credit rating downgrade is a bit of a gift.
    • Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) – Thoughts on upcoming October 12 earnings report, and could anti-trust wound its competitors?
    • Vodafone (VOD) – Saudi Telecom invests in Telefonica.
    • Wells Fargo (WFC) – Reasonably encouraging commentary from recent Barclay’s Global Financial Services Conference presentation.
  • Elsewhere in the market
    • Lehman failed 10 years ago today.
  • Final note
    • JM Smucker buys Twinkie maker Hostess, and why Ozempic could be a tailwind.
    • Post-season possibilities for the Chicago Cubs?

Market Cap

Recommendation

Symbol

Rec. Issue

Price at Rec.

9/14/23

Current Yield

Rating and Price Target

Small cap

Gannett Company

GCI

Aug 2017

9.22

2.93

-

Buy (9)

Small cap

Duluth Holdings

DLTH

Feb 2020

8.68

6.04

-

Buy (20)

Small cap

Dril-Quip

DRQ

May 2021

28.28

29.27

-

Buy (44)

Small cap

L.B. Foster

FSTR

Jul 2023

13.60

18.11

-

Buy (44)

Small cap

Kopin Corp

KOPN

Aug 2023

2.03

1.36

-

Suspended

Mid cap

Mattel

MAT

May 2015

28.43

21.24

-

Buy (38)

Mid cap

Adient plc

ADNT

Oct 2018

39.77

38.49

-

Buy (55)

Mid cap

Xerox Holdings

XRX

Dec 2020

21.91

16.06

6.2%

Buy (33)

Mid cap

Viatris

VTRS

Feb 2021

17.43

9.83

4.9%

Buy (26)

Mid cap

TreeHouse Foods

THS

Oct 2021

39.43

47.82

-

Buy (60)

Mid cap

Kaman Corporation

KAMN

Nov 2021

37.41

20.81

3.8%

Buy (57)

Mid cap

The Western Union Co.

WU

Dec 2021

16.40

12.72

7.4%

Buy (25)

Mid cap

Brookfield Re

BNRE

Jan 2022

61.32

36.13

1.5%

Buy (93)

Mid cap

Polaris

PII

Feb 2022

105.78

106.62

-

Buy (160)

Mid cap

Goodyear Tire & Rubber

GT

Mar 2022

16.01

12.71

-

Buy (24.50)

Mid cap

Janus Henderson Group

JHG

Jun 2022

27.17

27.48

5.7%

Buy (67)

Mid cap

Six Flags Entertainment

SIX

Dec 2022

22.60

25.20

-

Buy (35)

Mid cap

Kohl’s Corporation

KSS

Mar 2023

32.43

22.76

8.8%

Buy (50)

Mid cap

Frontier Group Holdings

ULCC

Apr 2023

9.49

5.57

-

Buy (15)

Mid cap

Advance Auto Parts

AAP

Sep 2023

64.08

59.62

6.7%

Buy (98)

Large cap

General Electric

GE

Jul 2007

304.96

115.65

0.3%

Buy (160)

Large cap

Nokia Corporation

NOK

Mar 2015

8.02

4.02

2.3%

Buy (12)

Large cap

Macy’s

M

Jul 2016

33.61

11.36

5.8%

Buy (25)

Large cap

Newell Brands

NWL

Jun 2018

24.78

9.72

2.9%

Buy (39)

Large cap

Vodafone Group plc

VOD

Dec 2018

21.24

9.97

10.2%

Buy (32)

Large cap

Berkshire Hathaway

BRK.B

Apr 2020

183.18

369.50

-

HOLD

Large cap

Wells Fargo & Company

WFC

Jun 2020

27.22

43.05

3.3%

Buy (64)

Large cap

Western Digital Corporation

WDC

Oct 2020

38.47

43.69

-

Buy (78)

Large cap

Elanco Animal Health

ELAN

Apr 2021

27.85

11.75

-

Buy (44)

Large cap

Walgreens Boots Alliance

WBA

Aug 2021

46.53

22.48

8.5%

Buy (70)

Large cap

Volkswagen AG

VWAGY

Aug 2022

19.76

13.26

6.9%

Buy (70)

Large cap

Warner Bros Discovery

WBD

Sep 2022

13.13

11.73

-

Buy (20)

Large cap

Capital One Financial

COF

Nov 2022

96.25

102.26

2.3%

Buy (150)

Large cap

Bayer AG

BAYRY

Feb 2023

15.41

13.10

4.1%

Buy (24)

Large cap

Tyson Foods

TSN

Jun 2023

52.01

53.96

3.6%

Buy (78)

Disclosure: The chief analyst of the Cabot Turnaround Letter personally holds shares of every Rated recommendation. The chief analyst may purchase securities discussed in the “Purchase Recommendation” section or sell securities discussed in the “Sell Recommendation” section but not before the fourth day after the recommendation has been emailed to subscribers. However, the chief analyst may purchase or sell securities mentioned in other parts of the Cabot Turnaround Letter at any time. Please feel free to share your ideas and suggestions for the podcast and the letter with an email to either me at bruce@cabotwealth.com or to our friendly customer support team at support@cabotwealth.com. Due to the time and space limits we may not be able to cover every topic, but we will work to cover as much as possible or respond by email.

Bruce Kaser has more than 25 years of value investing experience in managing institutional portfolios, mutual funds and private client accounts. He has led two successful investment platform turnarounds, co-founded an investment management firm, and was principal of a $3 billion (AUM) employee-owned investment management company.