Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Turnaround Letter
Out-of-Favor Stocks with Real Value

May 31, 2024

Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH) reported its fiscal first-quarter 2024 results, with revenues of $116.68 million, missing estimates by 2.52% and down from $123.76 million a year ago. The company posted a net loss of $7.9 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $1.8 million. Despite sales challenges, CEO Sam Sato highlighted improved inventory management and successful customer engagement campaigns. The company ended the quarter with $6.8 million in cash and updated its fiscal 2024 outlook to net sales of $640 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $39 million.

Download PDF

Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH) reported its fiscal first-quarter 2024 results, with revenues of $116.68 million, missing estimates by 2.52% and down from $123.76 million a year ago. The company posted a net loss of $7.9 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $1.8 million. Despite sales challenges, CEO Sam Sato highlighted improved inventory management and successful customer engagement campaigns. The company ended the quarter with $6.8 million in cash and updated its fiscal 2024 outlook to net sales of $640 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $39 million.

Kohl’s (KSS) shares dropped up to 25% after reporting a surprise first-quarter loss and lowering its annual forecast. Net sales fell 5.3%, with comparable sales down 4.4%, marking the ninth consecutive decline. CEO Tom Kingsbury attributed the disappointing results to various economic pressures, particularly affecting middle-income consumers, despite ongoing strategic initiatives and collaborations, such as with Sephora. Despite these efforts, external sales remained sluggish. The decline marked the stock’s steepest drop on record, contrasting with the broader market’s gains.

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) reported a flat revenue of $3.41 billion in Q1 CY2024, slightly missing analyst expectations of $3.43 billion. Year-on-year, the company saw a decrease in GAAP profit per share from $0.81 to $0.67. Despite this, Advance Auto Parts confirmed its full-year revenue guidance at $11.4 billion and EPS guidance at $4.00, both above analyst forecasts. The company’s gross margin dropped from 43% to 42%, and free cash flow improved significantly from -$472.5 million to -$46.27 million while same-store sales slightly declined by 0.2%.

Friday, May 31, 2024, Subscribers-Only Podcast:

Covering recent news and analysis for our portfolio companies and other topics relevant to value/contrarian investors.

Today’s podcast is about 7 minutes long and covers:

  • Initial note
    • Introduction – some thoughts on market action this week.
    • A quick rundown of the 3 CTL companies that reported this week.
  • Comments on recommended companies
    • AMMO, Inc (POWW) announced that it will release financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 ended March 31, 2024, after the stock market closes on Thursday, June 13, 2024.
    • VF Corp (VFC) has appointed Lululemon’s former chief product officer as global brand president of Vans, the apparel company said late Thursday.
    • United States Steel (X) and Nippon Steel have secured all regulatory clearances from jurisdictions outside of the U.S. for their proposed merger.
    • Baxter International (BAX) announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.29 per share on the 1st of July.

Please know that while I don’t yet personally own shares of all Cabot Turnaround Letter recommended stocks – including the stocks mentioned in this note – that will materially change over time.

Please feel free to share your ideas and suggestions for the podcast and the letter with an email to either me at mwarder@cabotwealth.com or to our friendly customer support team at support@cabotwealth.com. Due to the time and space limits we may not be able to cover every topic, but we will work to cover as much as possible or respond by email.

Portfolio

Market CapRecommendationSymbolRec.
Issue
Price at
Rec.
Current Price *Current
Yield
Rating and Price Target
Small capGannett CompanyGCIAug 20179.22 $ 3.71 -Buy (9)
Small capDuluth HoldingsDLTHFeb 20208.68 $ 3.84 -Buy (20)
Small capDril-QuipDRQMay 202128.28 $ 19.22 -Buy (44)
Small capKopin CorpKOPNAug 20232.03 $ 0.80 -Buy (5)
Small capAmmo, Inc.POWWOct 20231.99 $ 2.64 -Buy (3.50)
Mid capMattelMATMay 201528.43 $ 17.71 -Buy (38)
Mid capAdient plcADNTOct 201839.77 $ 28.19 -Buy (55)
Mid capXerox HoldingsXRXDec 202021.91 $ 13.787.3%Buy (33)
Mid capViatrisVTRSFeb 202117.43 $ 10.564.5%Buy (26)
Mid capTreeHouse FoodsTHSOct 202139.43 $ 36.42 -Buy (60)
Mid capThe Western Union Co.WUDec 202116.40 $ 12.797.4%Buy (25)
Mid capBrookfield ReBNREJan 202261.32 $ 43.030.7%Buy (93)
Mid capPolarisPIIFeb 2022105.78 $ 83.843.1%Buy (160)
Mid capGoodyear Tire & RubberGTMar 202216.01 $ 12.34 -Buy (24.50)
Mid capJanus Henderson GroupJHGJun 202227.17 $ 33.294.7%Buy (67)
Mid capSix Flags EntertainmentSIXDec 202222.60 $ 25.49 -Buy (35)
Mid capKohl’s CorporationKSSMar 202332.43 $ 22.908.7%Buy (50)
Mid capFrontier Group HoldingsULCCApr 20239.49 $ 5.47 -Buy (15)
Mid capAdvance Auto PartsAAPSep 202364.08 $ 69.711.4%Buy (98)
Mid capMohawk IndustriesMHKJan 2024103.11 $ 120.97 -Buy (165)
Mid capVF CorporationVFCMar 202416.24 $ 13.442.7%Buy (25)
Mid capBarnes GroupBApr 202436.55 $ 38.741.6%Buy (55)
Mid capFirst Quantum MineralsFMApr 202415.93 $ 18.631.6%Buy (40)
Mid capUnited States SteelXJun 202437.12 $ 38.120.5%Buy (55)
Large capGeneral ElectricGEJul 2007304.96 $ 163.590.2%Buy (160)
Large capNokia CorporationNOKMar 20158.02 $ 3.903.4%Buy (12)
Large capMacy’sMJul 201633.61 $ 19.453.4%Buy (25)
Large capNewell BrandsNWLJun 201824.78 $ 7.713.4%Buy (39)
Large capVodafone Group plcVODDec 201821.24 9.6410.6%Buy (32)
Large capBerkshire HathawayBRK.BApr 2020183.18 $ 411.07 -HOLD
Large capWells Fargo & CompanyWFCJun 202027.22 $ 59.382.4%Buy (64)
Large capWestern Digital CorporationWDCOct 202038.47 $ 74.24 -Buy (78)
Large capElanco Animal HealthELANApr 202127.85 $ 17.76 -Buy (44)
Large capWalgreens Boots AllianceWBAAug 202146.53 $ 16.226.2%Buy (70)
Large capVolkswagen AGVWAGYAug 202219.76 $ 14.196.5%Buy (70)
Large capWarner Bros DiscoveryWBDSep 202213.13 $ 8.26 -Buy (20)
Large capCapital One FinancialCOFNov 202296.25 $ 137.001.8%Buy (150)
Large capBayer AGBAYRYFeb 202315.41 $ 7.697.0%Buy (24)
Large capTyson FoodsTSNJun 202352.01 $ 57.393.4%Buy (78)
Large capAgnico Eagle MinesAEMNov 202349.80 $ 67.902.3%Buy (75)
Large capFidelity Natl Info ServicesFISDec 202355.50 $ 75.022.7%Buy (85)
Large capBaxter InternationalBAXFeb 202438.79 $ 33.863.3%Buy (60)


Copyright © 2024. All rights reserved. Copying or electronic transmission of this information without permission is a violation of copyright law. For the protection of our subscribers, copyright violations will result in immediate termination of all subscriptions without refund. Disclosures: Cabot Wealth Network exists to serve you, our readers. We derive 100% of our revenue, or close to it, from selling subscriptions to our publications. Neither Cabot Wealth Network nor our employees are compensated in any way by the companies whose stocks we recommend or providers of associated financial services. Employees of Cabot Wealth Network may own some of the stocks recommended by our advisory services. Disclaimer: Sources of information are believed to be reliable but they are not guaranteed to be complete or error-free. Recommendations, opinions or suggestions are given with the understanding that subscribers acting on information assume all risks involved. Buy/Sell Recommendations: are made in regular issues, updates, or alerts by email and on the private subscriber website. Subscribers agree to adhere to all terms and conditions which can be found on CabotWealth.com and are subject to change. Violations will result in termination of all subscriptions without refund in addition to any civil and criminal penalties available under the law.

Matthew Warder is Cabot Wealth Network’s Chief Analyst of Cabot Turnaround Letter